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Keith Rankin - Latest News [Page 1]

Hiroshima Day Reflection: An End To The Russia-Ukraine War?

Friday, 7 August 2026, 4:11 pm | Keith Rankin

Neither Moscow nor Kyiv is in a situation like Japan was in July 1945; though Kyiv may yet end up in such a situation. More >>

The State Of The New Zealand Economy: A Balance-Sheet Recession?

Thursday, 6 August 2026, 4:23 pm | Keith Rankin

Whenever circumstances or information change, parrots and too many economists are unable to make the appropriate intellectual adjustments. More >>

When Did World War Two End And The Cold War Begin?

Wednesday, 5 August 2026, 6:22 pm | Keith Rankin

Geopolitics is still largely treated as a game by its more entitled protagonists, despite all having changed for the world to see on 6 August 1945. Nuclear civilian collateral damage dates back 81 years. More >>

Pivot Point In Human History?

Friday, 31 July 2026, 3:34 pm | Keith Rankin

Cline, writing in 2021 during the Delta wave of Covid19, concurred with Harvey, only adding the overblown Covid19 pandemic into the mix. Thus 2020 was his candidate to rival 1177BC. More >>

Nuclear Oceania And Asymmetric Warfare

Wednesday, 29 July 2026, 2:18 pm | Keith Rankin

The next nuclear war will be an asymmetric war, and Iran has just written the textbook of how-to-do asymmetric war. More >>

Reckless Complacency Meaning The End Of Nuclear Deterrence

Friday, 24 July 2026, 5:06 pm | Keith Rankin

Ukraine's behaviour can only be described as 'baiting the bear', and has clearly been backed by Nato, especially the E3 nations of Germany, France and the United Kingdom. More >>

Bending The Knee

Thursday, 23 July 2026, 12:04 pm | Keith Rankin

Should New Zealand be explicitly deferential towards India? It's a real question, especially in the context of geo-economics where certain alpha-politicians demand submission. More >>

Can Andy Burnham Overcome The War And Debt Bogeys?

Monday, 20 July 2026, 3:48 pm | Keith Rankin

Burnham does have a mandate to lead – and to change course – despite the unusual circumstances through which he has become Prime Minister. More >>

Retirement Age Labour In New Zealand

Thursday, 16 July 2026, 5:06 pm | Keith Rankin

The assumption is that 64-year-old men should be fulltime paid workers and that retired men should be 'out to pasture'. More >>

Narrative-Building Political Strategy; The Case Of Anti-Inflation Policy

Monday, 13 July 2026, 4:53 pm | Keith Rankin

Two such economic ailments are recession and inflation. Recessions – unless being aggravated by some exogenous problem – are part of a business cycle. More >>

Interest Rates: Is The NZ Economy Presently Overstimulated?

Thursday, 9 July 2026, 4:07 pm | Keith Rankin

Nobody can tell us what the 'neutral rate of (OCR) interest' is; though there is a clearly claimed claim that the neutral rate is above 2.5%. More >>

Growth Of New Zealand's Working Age Female Population

Wednesday, 8 July 2026, 3:38 pm | Keith Rankin

The number of people born in the early 1950s living in New Zealand has been boosted by net immigration, including New Zealand born people returning from overseas. More >>

Ponzi Schemes: Harmful Or Beneficial (or Both)?

Friday, 3 July 2026, 4:10 pm | Keith Rankin

The Ponzi entity fails when withdrawals exceed its ability to secure ongoing investments. Unusually large numbers of withdrawals can be called 'capital flight'. More >>

NZ Economic Growth Over The Medium Term

Thursday, 2 July 2026, 4:27 pm | Keith Rankin

Many policy positions these days are claims that New Zealand must make policy for the long term rather than for short-term "sugar hits". More >>

New Zealand Economy: Boom Or Bust In Early 2026?

Thursday, 25 June 2026, 4:51 pm | Keith Rankin

The most important measure of the international trading environment for a country – especially a country which relies on importing and exporting goods – is called the merchandise terms of trade. More >>

Jeffrey Sachs, An Inconvenient Intellectual Critic

Friday, 19 June 2026, 4:02 pm | Keith Rankin

Jeffrey Sachs and other intelligent and courageous people are trying to warn us. We should listen, and respond with reason rather than quasi-religious rhetoric about Good and Evil. More >>

New Zealand Economic Growth Update

Thursday, 18 June 2026, 4:20 pm | Keith Rankin

The two exceptions to this bounce-back generalisation are the two growth phases preceding the two National-led domestic fiscal crises. More >>

Modern Media As Unintended Propaganda

Wednesday, 17 June 2026, 5:18 pm | Keith Rankin

John Campbell wouldn't think that his style of journalism is propaganda; and he's probably not pushing his own personal agenda here. More >>

Truth, Accountability, And The Burden Of Proof

Thursday, 11 June 2026, 4:11 pm | Keith Rankin

Real 'practical world' truth and proof are in fact statistical concepts; they have an attached probability. More >>

Retrenchment Or Conjuring Trick?

Thursday, 21 May 2026, 4:01 pm | Keith Rankin

New Zealand's exports are booming, and have been for a while. But for New Zealand that's still far from enough; New Zealand needs a government spending circuit breaker as well. More >>

 

 
 
 
 
 

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