Mark Rais - Latest News [Page 1]

Fixing House Prices And The Limitations Of A Capital Gains Tax

Monday, 7 December 2020, 2:01 pm | Mark Rais

As house prices escalate at extra-ordinary levels, there are increasing demands for taxation as a method of tempering the price growth. Capital gains taxes are one of several new tax proposals being considered as methods for helping cool the housing ... More >>

Housing Boom Caused By Massive Inflationary Cycle

Wednesday, 18 November 2020, 8:22 am | Mark Rais

The political debate is now focusing on housing and the dramatic exponential growth in housing prices since the major COVID-19 lockdowns ended. Unfortunately, as I wrote almost six months ago, the massive growth in housing prices is a derivative of overt ... More >>

One US Senate Race May Indicate The Overall Election Results

Tuesday, 18 August 2020, 7:45 am | Mark Rais

There are many complex and unsteady indicators in the current Presidential race in the United States. Gauging the results, whether Republicans will retain the Senate majority, and who will win the White House becomes less clear each day the election ... More >>

90 Days To Elections: Trends Show Biden Win And Turbulent Transition

Tuesday, 4 August 2020, 3:41 pm | Mark Rais

Biden is projected to win the presidential election in the United States, by both the popular vote and the Electoral College, based on trend analysis 90 days out. Moreover, the cultural trends indicate a particularly turbulent and drawn out transition ... More >>

Are Polls Lying? Trends Shed Light

Wednesday, 29 July 2020, 4:45 pm | Mark Rais

Although several leaders from various parties have taken additional effort this week to discount the results of the latest Newshub-Reid poll (26-July-2020), underlying trends validate most of the results. Political trends often reveal a fundamental More >>

The Housing Market Is Underpinned By Four Catalysts

Friday, 24 July 2020, 1:22 pm | Mark Rais

The housing bubble predicted by many to burst is unlikely to occur unless there is mass unemployment. Even then, government intervention similar to that seen with the initial COVID-19 response, including mortgage and wage subsidy schemes, will ... More >>

The Pandemic Is Not Over

Wednesday, 22 July 2020, 2:52 pm | Mark Rais

The government’s effective response to the outbreak of COVID-19 is as much a beacon of success as it is an unfortunate reality of timing. Whereas significant numbers of countries that had been stemming the tide of the virus now again face explosive ... More >>

A Grand Threat To New Zealand During This Pandemic

Thursday, 16 July 2020, 8:43 am | Mark Rais

As the media focus is explicitly on those thousands returning to New Zealand, it has largely ignored the reality of where the actual pandemic threat originates. Stats NZ has recently noted approximately 21,124 people arrived between April and June. ... More >>

Growing Arrivals Require Broader Approach To Pandemic Response

Wednesday, 15 July 2020, 3:59 pm | Mark Rais

Latest data from Statistics New Zealand verifies that approximately 21,000 people in total arrived between April and June [1]. With such a large number of arrivals during the pandemic lock-downs, there are increasing concerns regarding the costs ... More >>

Six Key Drivers For The Real Estate Market In New Zealand

Wednesday, 15 April 2020, 7:11 am | Mark Rais

There are six key drivers for the real estate market in New Zealand, and most are currently underpinned by stabilising events. It is unlikely that any substantive downward trends in the real estate prices will occur in the near term. This is underpinned ... More >>

Success or Failure of CGTdependant on Macro-Economics

Friday, 22 February 2019, 10:58 am | Mark Rais

The newly proposed capital gains tax (CGT) has the potential to beneficially improve economic conditions, especially for low and middle earners who would see an exempting of a portion of their income tax. But such beneficial results can only come if the ... More >>

An emerging rental crisis caused by macro-economic drivers

Friday, 18 January 2019, 2:22 pm | Mark Rais

The new tenancy law changes and investment tax proposals, although quite sound in their intention, may unwittingly combine with emerging negative macro-economic forces. More >>

Trapped in the age of Nuclear Deterrence

Wednesday, 6 September 2017, 9:46 am | Mark Rais

The standoff between nuclear giant United States and newcomer North Korea is a remarkable reflection of a past age. It is the quintessential example of the cold war era ideology where nuclear weapons were foundational to power and deterrence. More >>

False Data is the greatest threat to humanity

Wednesday, 2 August 2017, 3:12 pm | Mark Rais

By Mark Rais Two Artificial Intelligence (AI) bots appeared to go rogue forming their own language, which the human computer scientists that created them could not translate. More >>

Fallacies promoting housing collapse - Mark Rais

Tuesday, 9 May 2017, 1:05 pm | Mark Rais

If you read the top headlines or listen to New Zealand political debates, the housing boom and immigration are key concerns. What many seem to be ignoring is the very serious looming decline in the global economy and major decline in housing growth. More >>

The end of the Housing Boom

Friday, 16 December 2016, 5:23 pm | Mark Rais

There are a number of factors why housing has been on full throttle for the past three years in New Zealand. However, two of the most substantial drivers are about to change. The fulcrum for this change is founded in international macroeconomic ... More >>

Low interest rates are creating broader instability

Monday, 3 October 2016, 10:56 am | Mark Rais

By Mark Rais The housing market is becoming untenable for reasons not currently emphasised. The demand is underpinned not only by market forces driven from home owners or those looking to purchase a beneficial investment. It is also bolstered ... More >>

Proposed Land Tax will have detrimental long term affects

Tuesday, 3 May 2016, 2:25 pm | Mark Rais

Proposed Land Tax will have detrimental long term affects Mark Rais The national median price of houses sold last year was $450,000, according to statistics from REINZ (Real Estate Institute of New Zealand). A proposed Land Tax at the recommended ... More >>

Interest Rate Cuts Fail When Applied in Isolation

Tuesday, 2 December 2008, 9:56 am | Mark Rais

Repeated reductions in interest rates do little to resolve underlying economic issues. Instead, any strategy that will overcome the impending volatility of 2009 must tightly coordinate several key growth drivers. More >>

Clash of Super Powers in an Age of Global Conflict

Wednesday, 8 October 2008, 3:53 pm | Mark Rais

Three powers now flex for rule in our modern world. The world has not experienced this type of struggle since the 1930s, when unyielding socio-political ideologies spawned by ambitious leaders began to drive daily events. More >>