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iPredict - Latest News [Page 4]
IPredict Ltd 2014 Election Update #18
Monday, 19 May 2014, 3:13 pm | iPredict
Despite delivering a Budget last week including a better-than-expected surplus, an extension of the paid parental leave scheme and free doctor’s visits and prescriptions for all children under 13, National’s forecast support has slipped this week, although ... More >>
2014 Election Update #18: National still favoured to win ele
Monday, 19 May 2014, 3:11 pm | iPredict
National still favoured to win election with minor parties’ support · Act now forecast to have 4 MPs · Palmerston North now a dead-heat between National and Labour while Hamilton East and West, Rotorua, and Waiariki highly marginal · Collins back ... More >>
2014 Election Update #17: Key to quit by end of 2015
Tuesday, 6 May 2014, 2:10 pm | iPredict
Collins expected to lose all portfolios before election and leadership chances plummet to 8% · NZ First, Act and Conservatives make gains at National’s expense, with Labour/Green stable · National still favoured to win election but probability back ... More >>
iPredict 2014 Election Update: National could govern with Act
Tuesday, 29 April 2014, 2:35 pm | iPredict
Inflationary expectations ease again · Labour party-vote forecast slumps in favour of National · National has several possible governing options, including with Act alone · Conservatives move closer to 5% · Maori Party remains on knife-edge and ... More >>
iPredict Ltd 2014 Election Update #15
Thursday, 24 April 2014, 11:25 am | iPredict
iPredict’s 7000 registered traders continue to believe Winston Peters’ NZ First party will hold the balance of power after the election and allow National to govern. There has been a small gain to Act and the Conservatives over the last week and a ... More >>
iPredict 2014 Election Update #14: Labour Makes Gains
Monday, 14 April 2014, 4:22 pm | iPredict
Labour makes gains over last week · National’s probability of forming next government down to 70%, compared with 87% five months before 2011 election · Likelihood NZ First would back Labour-led government passes 50% for first time · Act’s chances ... More >>
iPredict 2014 Election Update: Monarchy & Key Look Strong
Tuesday, 8 April 2014, 2:04 pm | iPredict
The combined wisdom of the more than 7000 registered traders on New Zealand’s online prediction market, iPredict, believe there is a just an 8% probability a New Zealand citizen will be Head of State by 2020, this week’s market snapshot indicates. Charles, ... More >>
iPredict 2014 Election Update #12
Thursday, 3 April 2014, 4:23 pm | iPredict
National favoured to win, and could now govern with the support of existing coalition partners or New Zealand First · Labour remains below 30% but could still govern with Green, NZ First, Maori, and Mana Party · Maori Party now forecast to win 2 ... More >>
iPredict Election Update
Friday, 28 March 2014, 12:08 pm | iPredict
Key Points: • Mana now forecast to win 2 seats and Maori Party only 1 • National reaches new high of 76% probability of forming next government but will require support or acquiescence of NZ First, which holds balance of power • Labour falls below ... More >>
Election Update #10: Maori Party or NZ First to decide PM
Monday, 17 March 2014, 3:37 pm | iPredict
NZ First forecast to secure over 5% to return to Parliament · Maori Party or NZ First to decide next Prime Minister · Key still favoured to win 2014 but would require support of all current support parties or a deal with NZ First · OCR likely to be ... More >>
iPredict Election Update #9: National strengthens position
Wednesday, 12 March 2014, 5:08 pm | iPredict
Interest rates certain to rise tomorrow · National strengthens advantage over Labour but would need to rely on Peters if NZ First returns · Bridges replaces Collins as second favourite to succeed Key behind Joyce · Labour loses ground to Greens ... More >>
iPredict 2014 Election Update #8
Tuesday, 4 March 2014, 5:27 pm | iPredict
National, Labour and the Conservatives make gains this week at expense of Greens and Act · Cunliffe 99% likely to remain Labour leader until election but 62% likely to step down before end of 2015 · Joyce now ahead of Collins and Bridges to replace ... More >>
2014 Election Update #7
Thursday, 27 February 2014, 9:10 am | iPredict
An early election, on 27 or 20 September, now looks likely, according to the combined wisdom of iPredict’s more than 7000 registered traders. This week’s snapshot of the New Zealand predictions market, owned by Victoria University of Wellington, ... More >>
iPredict Ltd 2014 Election Update #6
Tuesday, 18 February 2014, 11:30 am | iPredict
Trading by iPredict’s more than 7000 registered traders indicates a 45% probability this year’s election will be held on Saturday 18 October, with Saturday 20 September and Saturday 1 November the runners up. Expectations for increases in the Official ... More >>
iPredict 2014 Election Update:NZ First has balance of power
Tuesday, 11 February 2014, 10:16 am | iPredict
For the first time, iPredict’s more than 7000 registered traders are forecasting that Winston Peters’ NZ First Party will reach the 5% threshold and hold the balance of power after this year’s election, expected in October. Mr Peters’ party will ... More >>
iPredict 2014 Election Update #4
Friday, 7 February 2014, 4:20 pm | iPredict
Conservatives appear to be in trouble · Act now forecast to win 3 MPs · NZ First touching 5% · Election now expected in October · Key passes 60% probability of winning third term More >>
Ipredict 2014 Election Update #3 - Wed 29 Jan
Wednesday, 29 January 2014, 12:36 pm | iPredict
State of Nation speeches deliver small gains to National and Greens at expense of Labour. Whyte now favoured to lead Act, improving its prospects. Economic forecasts remain stable with small drop in forecast surpluses. 1% interest rate rise by October. ... More >>
Ipredict 2014 Election Update #2
Wednesday, 22 January 2014, 2:23 pm | iPredict
John Key’s odds of a third term have improved marginally this week, with a 58% probability there will be a National prime minister after the election. However, with National and Labour/Green in a dead heat, Mr Key’s prospects of a third term ... More >>
Ipredict Ltd 2014 Election Update #1
Wednesday, 15 January 2014, 2:58 pm | iPredict
Election expected in Q4 2014, most probably in November. Growing economy expected, but with rising interest rates. Only National, Labour and Greens to reach 5% threshold. More >>
Australian Election Newsletter #3
Friday, 13 July 2012, 4:31 pm | iPredict
• Growth of 0-0.5% expected in next three quarters and unemployment to be 5-5.5% through to September 2012 More >>
